Ivailo Hartarsky's webpage
Research interests
My main research interests lie in probability, especially its interface(s) with combinatorics or (not xor) statistical Physics. More concretely, most of my work is on stochastic dynamics and discrete probability. Namely, I primarily study interacting particle systems and probabilistic cellular automata. Currently, I am working mostly on bootstrap percolation and the closely related kinetically constrained spin models, as well as oriented percolation and related models.
Open access statement
As a general rule, the last (or latest) version of all my papers can be found on arXiv. I generally do not display the published version anywhere, but instead use the final manuscript. I recommend reading the latter over the former, as it has the same content and is often better typeset. For that reason I disregard publisher price when submitting and encourage institutional libraries to invest in good printers instead of journal subscriptions.
Abstracts may differ from venue to venue due to length/citation restrictions. I recommend systematically using the one in the pdf of the latest arXiv version.
My papers can also be found below if I have updated my page recently enough. I only deposit them on HAL once they are published, so please refer to arXiv. I do not deposit full texts on ResearchGate or other platforms to avoid violating publisher copyright.
Publications and preprints
Selected works
Preprints: 1, papers: 23, 22, 21, 16, 12, book: 3.
Preprints
-  Sharpness of the phase transition for constrained-degree percolation
 with R. W. C. Silva
 Submitted pdf, arXiv
-  Crossings and diffusion in Poisson driven marked random connection models
 with A. Faggionato
 Submitted pdf, arXiv
-  Explosive appearance of cores and bootstrap percolation on lattices
 with L. Lichev
 Submitted pdf, arXiv
-  Bootstrap percolation is local
 with A. Teixeira
 Submitted pdf, arXiv, slides
Papers (published or to appear)
-  Catalan percolation
 with E. Archer, B. Kolesnik, S. Olesker-Taylor, B. Schapira and D. Valesin
 Probability Theory and Related Fields (to appear) pdf, arXiv, journal, slides
-  Locality approach to the bootstrap percolation paradox
 with A. Teixeira
 Physical Review Letters 134 (2025), 117102. 6+3pp. pdf including supplemental material, arXiv, journal
-  Local dimer dynamics in higher dimensions
 with L. Lichev and F. Toninelli
 Annales de l'Institut Henri Poincare D, Combinatorics, Physics and their Interactions  (to appear). pdf, arXiv, journal
-  Sharp metastability transition for two-dimensional bootstrap percolation with symmetric isotropic threshold rules
 with H. Duminil-Copin
 Probability Theory and Related Fields 190 (2024), no. 2, 445–483. 39pp. pdf, arXiv, journal
-  Kinetically constrained models out of equilibrium
 with F. Toninelli
 Probability and Mathematical Physics 5 (2024), no. 2, 461-489. 29pp. pdf, arXiv, journal, slides
-  Refined universality for critical KCM: upper bounds
 Communications in Mathematical Physics 405 (2024), no. 1, Paper 13. 68+16pp. pdf including the online appendices, arXiv, journal, slides
-  The maximal running time of hypergraph bootstrap percolation
 with L. Lichev
 SIAM Journal on Discrete Mathematics 38 (2024), no. 2, 1462-1471. 10pp. pdf, arXiv, journal
-  The normal contraction property for non-bilinear Dirichlet forms
 with G. Brigati
 Potential Analysis 60 (2024), 473-488. 16pp. pdf, arXiv, journal
-  Brownian snails with removal die out in one dimension
 with L. Lichev
 Electronic Communications in Probability 28 (2023). 8pp. pdf, arXiv, journal
-  Sensitive bootstrap percolation second term
 Electronic Communications in Probability 28 (2023). 7pp. pdf, arXiv, journal
-  Sharp threshold for the FA-2f kinetically constrained model
 with F. Martinelli and C. Toninelli
 Probability Theory and Related Fields, 185 (2023), no. 3, 993–1037. 45pp. pdf, arXiv, journal, slides
-  Subcritical bootstrap percolation via Toom contours
 with R. Szabó
 Electronic Communications in Probability 27 (2022). 13+2pp. pdf including the online appendix, arXiv, journal
-  Bootstrap percolation, probabilistic cellular automata and sharpness
 Journal of Statistical Physics, 187 (2022), no. 3, Article 21. 17pp. pdf, arXiv, journal
-  Generalised oriented site percolation
 with R. Szabó
 Markov Processes and Related Fields, 28 (2022), no. 2. 28pp. pdf, arXiv, journal
-  Refined universality for critical KCM: lower bounds
 with L. Marêché
 Combinatorics, Probability & Computing 31 (2022), no. 5, 879-906. 28+16pp. pdf including the online appendix, arXiv, journal, slides
-  Weakly constrained-degree percolation on the hypercubic lattice
 with B. N. B. de Lima
 Stochastic Processes and their Applications 153 (2022), 128-144. 17pp. pdf, arXiv, journal, slides
-  Coalescing and branching simple symmetric exclusion process
 with F. Martinelli and C. Toninelli
 The Annals of Applied Probability 32 (2022), no. 4, 2841-2859. 19pp. pdf, arXiv, journal, slides
-  Bisection for kinetically constrained models revisited
 Electronic Communications in Probability 26 (2021). 10pp. pdf, arXiv,  journal, slides
-  Universality for critical KCM: finite number of stable directions
 with F. Martinelli and C. Toninelli
 The Annals of Probability, 49 (2021), no. 5, 2141-2174. 34 pp. pdf, arXiv, journal, slides
-  𝒰-bootstrap percolation: critical probability, exponential decay and applications
 Annales de l'Institut Henri Poincaré B, Probabilités et Statistiques, 57 (2021), no. 3, 1255-1280. 26pp. pdf, arXiv, journal, slides
-  Universality for critical KCM: infinite number of stable directions
 with L. Marêché and C. Toninelli
 Probability Theory and Related Fields, 178 (2020), no. 1, 289-326. 38pp. pdf, arXiv, journal, slides
-  Complexity of two-dimensional bootstrap percolation difficulty: Algorithm and NP-hardness
 with T. R. Mezei
 SIAM Journal on Discrete Mathematics, 34 (2020), no. 2, 1444-1459. 16pp. pdf, arXiv, journal
-  Strong Ramsey games in unbounded time
 with S. David and M. Tiba
 European Journal of Combinatorics, 86 (2020), 103096. 26pp. pdf, arXiv, journal
-  Maximum-energy records in glassy energy landscapes
 with M. Baity-Jesi, R. Ravasio, A. Billoire and G. Biroli
 Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment, 2019, no. 9, 093302. 24pp. pdf, arXiv, journal
-  The second term for two-neighbour bootstrap percolation in two dimensions
 with R. Morris
 Transactions of the American Mathematical Society, 372 (2019), 6465-6505. 41+14pp. pdf including the online appendix, arXiv, journal, slides
-  Maximal bootstrap percolation time on the hypercube via generalised snake-in-the-box
 Electronic Journal of Combinatorics, 25 (2018), no. 3, Paper 3.10. 12pp. pdf, arXiv, journal
Books, surveys and proceedings
-  Kinetically constrained models
 with C. Toninelli
 SpringerBriefs in Mathematical Physics, Springer Cham (2025). xv+119pp. pdf, arXiv, publisher
-  Universalité des modèles de percolation bootstrap et cinétiquement contraints en deux dimensions
 Matapli 133 (2024), 49-64. 16 pp. pdf, HAL, journal
-  Fredrickson-Andersen model in two dimensions
 with F. Martinelli and C. Toninelli
 ESAIM: Proceedings and Surveys 74 (2023), 108-118. 11pp. pdf, arXiv, journal
Unpublished supervised written work
- Bootstrap percolation and kinetically constrained models: two-dimensional universality and beyond
 supervised by C. Toninelli
 PhD thesis pdf, slides, HAL
 Awarded the Jacques Neveu tesis prize by the SMAI.
 Awarded the solemn tesis prize by the Chancellerie des Universités de Paris.
- Percolation bootstrap et modèles cinétiquement contraints
 supervised by C. Toninelli
 ENS Diploma thesis pdf
- Glassy dynamics: Trap and Random energy models
 supervised by G. Biroli and J. Salez
 Internship report pdf
- Sur l'expérience de Mayer
 supervised by J.-F. Logeais
 TIPE pdf
See my CV for more and feel free to contact me if you are interested.
Talk recordings
- Bootstrap percolation (10h introductory course), 2025
- Catalan percolation, 2025
- Bootstrap percolation is local, 2024
- 2-neighbour bootstrap percolation on the plane: upper bounds; lower bounds, 2024, bibliography.
- Two-dimensional universality in bootstrap percolation and kinetically constrained models, 2022
- Bootstrap percolation: merging operations for polytopes, 2022
- Generalised Oriented Site Percolation and its relation to Bootstrap Percolation, 2021
- Fredrickson-Andersen model and bootstrap percolation, 2020
- The second term for two-neighbour bootstrap percolation in two dimensions, 2019
Collaborators
Here is a list of my research collaborators and coauthors.
Eleanor Archer, Marco Baity-Jesi, 
Alain Billoire, Giulio Biroli, Elia Bisi, Giovanni Brigati, Fabio Deelan Cunden, Benoît Dagallier, Stefan David, Damiano de Gaspari, Barbara Dembin, Aurélia Deshayes, Hugo Duminil-Copin, Alessandra Faggionato, Christophe Garban, Janko Gravner, Alexander Holroyd, Milton Jara, Daniel Kious, Brett Kolesnik, Lyuben Lichev, Bernardo de Lima, Laure Marêché, Fabio Martinelli, Christian Maura Llauri, Otávio Menezes, Tamás Mezei, Rob Morris, Sam Olesker-Taylor, Riccardo Ravasio, Bruno Schapira, Roger Silva, David Sivakoff, Stephen G. Z. Smith, Alexandre Stauffer, Réka Szabó, Vincent Tassion, Augusto Teixeira, Paul Thévenin, Marius Tiba, Cristina Toninelli, Fabio Toninelli, Daniel Valesin, Stephan Wagner, Ahad Zehmakan.
Initialised: 04.2017
Last update: 10.2025
     
    
        